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What moves the Pakistani rupee

This guide explains the main factors behind PKR movement against the US dollar and where to check the official data yourself.

Extrade Pakistan editorial team ·

On this page
  1. How the rupee rate is formed
  2. Foreign exchange reserves
  3. Current account balance
  4. Oil and energy imports
  5. Remittances
  6. IMF programmes and external financing
  7. Interest rates and inflation
  8. Political risk and confidence
  9. Factors at a glance
  10. A note on trading PKR-related moves
  11. Frequent questions

The rupee-dollar rate is the price of a US dollar in Pakistani rupees, often written as USD/PKR. When that number goes up, the rupee has lost value. When it goes down, the rupee has gained. This guide covers the factors that drive PKR movement and how they connect.

Amount27,662.14 PKR
Rate1 USD = 276.62 PKR
Last 30 daysUSD/PKR · 05/10/2026 – 11/11/2026 · -0.16%
IndicatorRateDate
SBP weighted average customer rate, USD bid276.31 PKR11/11/2026
SBP weighted average customer rate, USD offer276.76 PKR11/11/2026
CurrencyOfficial rate (PKR)
USD276.62
EUR308.28
GBP368.52
SAR73.7058
AED75.3111
CNY41.4715
JPY1.7407
CAD194.55
AUD190.07
KWD897.39
QAR75.8907
OMR718.47
BHD733.45
MYR67.8659
CHF333.98
ARS0.179
BDT2.213
BRL49.544
CNH41.4778
DKK41.24
HKD35.2579
100 IDR1.52
INR2.9512
KRW0.2071
KZT0.6207
LKR0.8326
MXN14.8748
NOK29.0328
NZD154.8
RUB3.3412
SEK27.9452
SGD215.71
THB8.223
TRY5.5068
ZAR16.7217

Source: State Bank of Pakistan, exchange rates for mark-to-market revaluation (ready), 11/11/2026.

Official reference rates for comparison and calculations. Banks, exchange offices and brokers apply their own buying and selling rates and fees. The table refreshes automatically when the source publishes new rates.

How the rupee rate is formed

The rupee trades in two main places:

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the central bank, publishes daily reference rates. For details see Interbank vs open market and SBP exchange rates. The card above shows the SBP mark-to-market rate in rupees, with its date and source. Banks and exchange offices quote their own buy and sell rates. Our Exchange rates page has more on this.

The rate moves with supply and demand for dollars. Anything that brings dollars into Pakistan supports the rupee. Anything that takes dollars out puts pressure on it. Most of the factors below come back to this rule.

Foreign exchange reserves

Reserves are the foreign currency held by the SBP and by commercial banks. The SBP uses its reserves to pay for imports, repay foreign debt and calm sharp market swings.

The SBP publishes reserve figures weekly. Traders watch these releases closely.

Current account balance

The current account records Pakistan's trade in goods and services, plus income and transfers such as remittances.

A persistent current account deficit is one of the main reasons the rupee falls over long periods. The SBP releases monthly current account data. Trade data also comes from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

Oil and energy imports

Pakistan imports much of its crude oil, petroleum products and LNG. Energy is one of the largest items on the import bill.

For this reason, people who follow the rupee also watch crude oil markets. See Energies for how oil prices are quoted.

Remittances

Remittances are money sent home by Pakistanis working abroad, mainly from the Gulf, the UK and the US. They are one of the country's largest sources of dollars.

More on official channels: Remittances to Pakistan and Roshan Digital Account.

IMF programmes and external financing

Pakistan has relied on International Monetary Fund programmes many times. An IMF programme matters for the rupee in several ways:

Background is on IMF and Pakistan.

Interest rates and inflation

The SBP policy rate is the benchmark interest rate in Pakistan. Higher rates can make rupee assets more attractive and slow import demand, which can support the currency. Lower rates can do the opposite.

The latest decision we recorded: SBP policy rate raised by 50 bps to 12% with effect from 27.10.2026 (MPC). Check the SBP website for any newer decision. Our SBP policy rate page covers the background.

Inflation matters too. If prices in Pakistan rise faster than in the US, the rupee tends to lose value over time, because each rupee buys less. PBS publishes CPI and SPI data. See Inflation (CPI and SPI).

Political risk and confidence

Political uncertainty affects the rupee through expectations:

Political risk is hard to measure. It often shows up first in the gap between interbank and open market rates.

Factors at a glance

Factor What tends to weaken PKR What tends to support PKR Official source to check
Reserves Falling reserves Rising reserves SBP weekly data
Current account Wider deficit Smaller deficit or surplus SBP monthly data
Oil prices Higher global prices Lower global prices PBS trade data, SBP
Remittances Weaker inflows, informal channels Strong official inflows SBP monthly data
IMF Stalled reviews Disbursements, approved reviews SBP, Ministry of Finance
Interest rates Cuts with high inflation Higher real rates SBP monetary policy statements
Politics Uncertainty Stable policy News, market spreads

These factors act together, and they can offset each other. For example, strong remittances can be cancelled out by a jump in oil prices. No single number tells you where the rate will go, and this guide is not a forecast. For dates of upcoming releases, use the Economic calendar (PKT). For how analysts combine data like this, see Fundamental analysis.

Some readers follow these factors because they trade currencies. Leveraged forex and CFD trading can lose money fast, including more than you planned to risk.

Pakistani rules also apply. Per the SBP, remitting foreign exchange to overseas forex/margin/CFD platforms is not allowed through any payment channel (FERA s.5(1)). Per the SECP, offshore platforms have no Pakistani licence or oversight and offer no legal protection or recourse. Read Law and regulators and Risk management before making any decision.

Frequent questions

Why does the rupee fall?

Usually because demand for dollars exceeds supply. The common causes are a large current account deficit, falling reserves, higher oil import bills, delays in external financing, and political uncertainty.

What are the main factors affecting the rupee?

Reserves, the current account, oil prices, remittances, IMF programmes, interest rates, inflation and political risk.

Where can I check the official rupee-dollar rate?

The official PKR rate is published by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which publishes daily reference rates. See SBP exchange rates for an explanation. The card on this page shows the SBP mark-to-market rate with its date and source. Banks and exchange offices quote their own buy and sell rates. See Exchange rates for more.

Why is the open market rate different from the interbank rate?

The open market deals in cash with the public and reacts faster to shortages and sentiment. More on Interbank vs open market.

Does a higher SBP policy rate always strengthen the rupee?

No. It can support the rupee, but inflation, external financing and confidence can outweigh it.

Can anyone predict PKR movement?

No one can reliably predict it. The data shows the pressures on the currency, but not a guaranteed direction.

Sources

  1. State Bank of Pakistan · sbp.org.pk — checked 2026-11-11
  2. State Bank of Pakistan, EPD Circular Letter No. 08 of 2022 · sbp.org.pk › Epd circular letter no 08 of 2022 — checked 2026-11-11
  3. Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (press release, 09.04.2025) · secp.gov.pk › Press Release SECP Cautions Public Against Illegal Offshore Trading an — checked 2026-11-11

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