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Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern

This guide explains how to draw an inverse head and shoulders, the rules traders use to identify it, the measured-move convention, and the ways the pattern fails.

Extrade Pakistan editorial team ·

On this page
  1. What the inverse head and shoulders is
  2. The structure
  3. Identification rules
  4. The measured-move convention
  5. Retests
  6. Invalidation
  7. Failure modes and false breakouts
  8. An inverse head and shoulders strategy is a plan, not a signal
  9. Frequently asked questions

What the inverse head and shoulders is

The inverse head and shoulders (also called the inverted head and shoulders) is a chart pattern that can appear after a decline. It is the mirror image of the head and shoulders pattern, which forms at a high.

Traders read it as a possible shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Sellers push price to a low, then to a deeper low, then fail to reach that depth again. It is a description of past price behaviour. It does not tell you what price will do next.

If chart patterns are new to you, start with chart patterns and technical analysis.

necklineheightmeasured targetbreakoutleft shoulderheadright shoulder
Inverse head and shoulders: the classic measured target is the pattern height projected from the breakout. It is a reference level, not a forecast; many patterns fail. Illustrative example: made-up numbers for learning, not real prices or a broker's conditions.

The structure

The pattern has these parts:

Drawn example chart

The chart below is an illustration, not real market data.

LS is the left shoulder, H is the head, RS is the right shoulder. The neckline can be flat, as here, or sloped.

Identification rules

Traders use a checklist before calling the structure an inverse head and shoulders pattern:

  1. Prior downtrend. The pattern is a reversal pattern, so it needs something to reverse. The same shape in a sideways range carries less meaning.
  2. Head is the lowest point. Both shoulders must stay above the head.
  3. Rough symmetry. The shoulders should be at broadly similar levels and take broadly similar time. Perfect symmetry is rare. A badly lopsided shape is a weaker case.
  4. Clear neckline. You must be able to draw a line through the bounce highs. If the highs are scattered, the neckline is a guess.
  5. Volume, where available. In the classic description, volume tends to rise on the move up from the right shoulder and on the breakout. In spot forex there is no central volume, so tick volume on MT4 or MT5 is only a rough proxy.
  6. Completion only on a close beyond the neckline. Until price closes above the neckline, the pattern is not complete. A right shoulder that is still forming is just a trough.

The measured-move convention

Chart analysts use a measured move to estimate a target. Measure the vertical distance from the lowest point of the head up to the neckline. Then project the same distance upward from the point where price breaks the neckline.

Treat this as a convention for planning, not a forecast. Price may stop well short of the projected level, go far past it, or reverse soon after the breakout. Some traders use the projection only to check whether a planned stop and target make sense together. The calculators can help you size a position against a stop distance.

With a sloped neckline, measure from the head to the neckline straight above it, then project from the breakout point on the sloped line.

Retests

After a breakout, price sometimes comes back to the old neckline before moving away. Analysts call this a retest: former resistance being tested as support. A retest is not guaranteed, and price can fall back through the neckline instead.

Invalidation

Decide in advance what would prove the reading wrong. Common invalidation points are:

Many traders place a protective stop near one of these levels. A stop can still fill at a worse price during gaps or fast markets. See risk management and gap types.

Failure modes and false breakouts

The inverse head and shoulders fails often enough that you should plan for it:

An inverse head and shoulders strategy is a plan, not a signal

An inverse head and shoulders strategy usually defines four things before any trade: the neckline, the confirmation rule (for example, a close above the neckline), the invalidation level, and the position size. It is a framework for managing risk. It is not a reason to enter a trade.

Leveraged forex and CFD trading can lose money fast, and you can lose more than you planned if price gaps through your stop. You can practise drawing the pattern on a demo account without risking money. Read trading psychology on why traders see patterns that are not there.

Frequently asked questions

Is the inverted head and shoulders the same as the inverse head and shoulders?

Yes. Both names describe the same pattern at a low.

When is the pattern complete?

Most analysts treat it as complete only when price closes beyond the neckline. Before that, it is an unconfirmed shape.

Is the measured-move target reliable?

No. It is a charting convention for planning. Price often stops short of the projected level or goes beyond it.

Does the neckline have to be horizontal?

No. It can slope up or down. A neckline sloping down makes the breakout come sooner. A neckline sloping up makes it come later.

Can I rely on volume in forex?

Spot forex has no central volume figure. Tick volume on MetaTrader is a rough proxy, so treat it as weak evidence.

Where can I learn the opposite pattern?

See the head and shoulders pattern guide, which covers the version that forms at a high.

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